Table of Contents
CONTEXT
- South America may be battered by weak growth, unrest and austerity
- But one of its smallest countries is about to experience the fastest economic growth on the planet.
- According to the International Monetary Fund, Guyana, a country of 780,000 that neighbors Brazil and
- Venezuela in the region’s northeast corner, will see its economy balloon 86% next year after expanding 4.4% this year.
- That’s 14 times the projected pace of China.
WHAT IS THE REASON?
- South America’s only English-speaking nation owes the anticipated windfall to offshore oil deposits discovered in 2015.
- At the moment, the country doesn’t produce any crude.
- “We’re moving from a very low base to a stratospheric leap” Finance Minister Winston Jordan
IMF PROJECTION
- While Guyana’s annual gross domestic product is $4 billion,
- It will expand to about $15 billion by 2024, according to the IMF.
- But its forecast may be subject to large revisions, since even small changes to the projected oil output in 2020 would result in big swings in the overall economic performance.
DEEPWATER DRILLING
- Exxon has partnered with Hess Corp. and China’s CNOOC Ltd. to develop one of the world’s biggest new Deepwater oil discoveries off the country’s coast.
- Exxon said it will begin pumping from its first well next month, and by 2025 Guyana will produce at least 750,000 barrels a day.
- The government plans to use some of the money derived from its royalties,
- To build highways to connect coastal towns to the sparsely populated interior, which has gold, diamond and bauxite deposits, Jordan said.
- The oil sector will represent about 40% of the economy within five years.