Table of Contents
WHAT IS ECONOMIC INTERDEPENDENCE?
- A system in which countries are economically dependent upon each other.
- This interdependence is a product of labor specialization.
- Globalization is the by-product of economic
CHINA’S INFLUENCE ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
- It is the world’s largest manufacturer.
- Imports more crude oil than any other country.
- Chinese travelers are the top spenders in international tourism, making 150 million overseas trips worth $277 billion in 2018.
- The country’s 3 billion population provides the largest market in the world for several categories of consumer goods.
REACTIONS IN CHINA
- Sixteen cities in China, with a combined population of more than 50 million people, are on lockdown.
- Businesses in 14 provinces and cities, may not resume operations for another week even after annual Lunar New Year holiday.
- These businesses account for more than two-thirds of China’s economic output.
- General Motors and Honda ,Apple We Work IKEA
REACTIONS FROM THE WORLD
- Airlines around the world are canceling flights to China.
- Countries including the US are urging residents not to travel to the country at all.
- Russia and Mongolia have closed their borders with China.
- Investors have moved their money to safe havens like the S. dollar, the Japanese yen and gold.
BLACK SWAN EVENT
- A term used to describe
- An unpredictable event with unexpected and potentially severe consequences, for the global economy.
- China will be the economy most affected by the outbreak.
- But given its centrality to international trade as an exporter & increasingly an importer, it will certainly impact the world economy
WHAT HAS BEEN THE IMPACT SO FAR?
- The prices of some commodities, including oil, have declined
- Streets in megacities like Beijing and Shanghai are nearly empty.
- It is already apparent that the Wuhan coronavirus will hit tourism hard.
- It is hurting production chains, today many companies are dependent on Chinese production.
GDP IMPACT
- A 2017 paper by economists Victoria Fan, Dean Jamison and Lawrence Summers,
- Estimated that the expected annual losses from pandemic risk to be about- $500 billion — or 6% of global income — per year
ECONOMIC COST OF SARS OUTBREAK 2003
- Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), which started in China and killed almost 800 people across the world.
- International Air Transport Association (IATA) estimated that world GDP suffered a 1% hit due to the outbreak.
MARKET WINNERS AND LOSERS
- Virus outbreaks have tended to benefit pharmaceutical stocks,
- While tourism and travel-related stocks — hotels, airlines and luxury and consumer goods — tend to get punished.