Table of Contents
The Observation
- Across the Middle East (West Asia), alliances are shifting in unexpected ways.
- A new configuration is emerging in the region that is seemingly eternally walking a thin line between war and peace.
Area of Focus
New Middle East
- Israel normalizing relations
- Iran’s growing influence
- Gulf countries are fearing that the United States, their longtime ally, is unwilling to do enough to stem Iran’s rise. They are reaching out to Israel.
- New Energy Forum
- The discovery of energy in eastern Mediterranean, especially in Israeli, Cypriot, and Egyptian waters over the past decade has brought together old enemies.
- The first annual Eastern Mediterranean Gas Forum (EMGF) was held in Cairo in 2019, it was formalized in September 2020. This forum became an intergovernmental organization, with an exceptionally disparate group of members.
Eastern Mediterranean Gas Forum (EMGF)
- Turkey the new aggressor
- Turkey following Neo Ottomanism has been the new aggressor in Eastern Mediterranean.
- Turkey’s relations with its NATO allies in Europe have deteriorated sharply.
- Turkey’s bid for EU membership is all but buried.
- Greece along with Cyprus & Israel are trying to counter Turkey.
- USA or Russia?
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