Table of Contents
The News
- The Covid-19 outbreak has brought China’s extraordinary, nearly half-century-long run of growth to an end.
- China’s faulty policies have exposed many countries to vulnerabilities such as financial stress due to massive unpaid debts.
- Chinese officials said that the world’s second-largest economy shrank 8 percent in the first three months of the year compared with a year ago.
The Chinese Growth Story
- Since opening up to foreign trade and investment and implementing free-market reforms in 1979, China has been among the world’s fastest-growing economies, with real annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth averaging 9.5% through 2018.
- World Bank:
- “Chinese growth story is the fastest sustained expansion by a major economy in history.”
The Impact
The Impact
The Provocation
The Covid Effect
- The economy which survived the Tiananmen Square crackdown, the SARS epidemic, and even the global financial crisis of 2008 has now shrunk 8% in the first three months of the year compared with a year ago.
- The five largest Chinese banks posted at least 10 percent profit declines for the first half of the year.
- Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
- China Construction Bank
- Agricultural Bank of China
- Bank of China
- Bank of Communications are struggling
The Covid Effect
- 7 Chinese companies have filed for bankruptcy or restructuring.
- The biggest problem:
- Chinese Property market..!!
- China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) has said, China’s property market is the biggest “grey rhino”– a very obvious yet ignored threat.
- Property market is prone to financial risks, as it is very deeply intertwined with the financial industry.
Million Dollar Question
- Can China afford to fund its campaign of provocation even now?
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