Table of Contents
Context
- Comprehensive impact of the corona virus on India or the World.
- focus to fight COVID19 pandemic
- The medical management
- Economic fallout
- Impact on social harmony due to the mass displacement of migrant labour Human security
Post Pandemic Strategic Environment
- Post-pandemic strategic environment will dictate how soon the world recovers from this unexpected shock.
- To start with the international geopolitical angle, we can prepare ourselves better for the recovery phase.
- There will be more endeavours on enhancing human security through better strategic management of the world.
How to achieve this?
- Major conference with agenda for revival.
- By Getting big powers to jettison their geopolitical ambition in Potential 2020 “Pandemic conference”
Super Powers Rivalry
- The US-China rivalry will remain the core issue.
- Affected internal stability of USA.
- Allegation over China’s role in the pandemic.
- use of biological warfare.
- Cold war situation.
Economic Capabilities of U.S
- Ability to find a consensus to put on hold defence spending for the sake of human security.
- Key Anchor of Globalisation the US-China trade relationship.
- China Cannot replace U.S as major Industrial Producer.
- No other country can buy as much grain from the US as China does.
Influence of China
- Will Have Fastest Recovery.
- Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) may now have no huddles by USA.
- Strategic importance by it’s ability to influence politics among smaller nations in Asia and Africa.
- Rise in potential of conflict with U.S.A.
Role of U.N.O
- Lost credibility with the World Health Organisation taking the worst hit any UN agency has suffered in years.
- Contingent upon how it manages the geopolitical fallout.
- Sooner it can get the world leaders on board, the better.
Instability in Iran and Afghanistan
- Iran’s collapsed economy.
- Threat to regional peace.
- Less commitment by USA to Afghanistan in keeping economic stability.
- Revival of Islamic State.
Opportunities for India
- Among few nations without Recession.
- Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s influence to cobble together International cooperation.
- Not in conflict with China but in cooperation.
- Multilateral foreign policy.
- Successful and swift recovery of the world hinges on international cooperation among the nation. This provides India with an opportunity to stitch together .