Table of Contents
- On 29th January, 2021, the Russian statistics agency revealed that Russia’s population shrank by about half a million in 2020.
- This is Russia’s population first contraction in 15 years.
- Russia now has a population of 146.2 million.
- Experts attributed the decline mainly to the COVID-19 pandemic.
- There were 229,700 more deaths between January and November 2020 than in the same period the previous year.
- This indicates more than 13 percent increase in mortality rate.
- Since the 1990s, Russia’s death rate has exceeded its birth rate.
- 2005 – Dire forecasts for 2050
- As of 2019, the total fertility rate (TFR) across Russia was estimated to be 1.50 births per woman
- Russian President Vladimir Putin has long called for greater efforts towards population growth.
- Last year, he blamed the trend on low incomes.
Experts say other causes are:
- the migration of younger, well-educated people abroad and
- the low birth rate.
Similar Trends
- In January, 2021, statistics from Poland and the United Kingdom, have shown similar trends.
- Statistics for 2020 showed deaths spiking in Poland to a level that has not been seen since World War II.
- Poland – 38 million
- 2020
- 357,400 births – the lowest number since 2005.
- 486,200 deaths – the highest number registered since the war.
- Loss of 129,000 people
- In 2019, some 30,000 people died in Poland each month on average.
- In November, 2020, when COVID-19 cases spiked, the country registered almost 60,400 deaths.
- The low birth rate surprised observers because some experts predicted the lockdown measures the Polish government has imposed on and off since mid-March would lead to a baby boom.
- Communist-era martial law restrictions in Poland during the early 1980s produced such an uptick in births.
- In the UK, a study suggested it could be the largest population decline since World War II, owing to the pandemic.
- Faced with bleak employment opportunities, expatriates have been leaving the UK in large numbers, according to the UK’s Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- About 1.3 million people born abroad left the UK from July 2019 to September 2020.
- Brexit also appeared to have an impact in motivating people to leave Britain.
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