Threat To US Speaker Plane Over Taiwan Issue

Table of Contents

What’s happening?

China has warned that it will respond forcefully if US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi goes ahead with a visit to Taiwan, the self-governing island democracy it claims as its own territory.
Pelosi is second in line to the presidency and would be the highest ranking US politician to visit Taiwan since 1997.
China has threatened unspecified “resolute and strong measures” if she goes ahead, which analysts say could cause tensions to spike in Taiwan Strait, considered a major potential Asian powder keg.

S. officials say they have little fear that China would attack Nancy Pelosi’s plane if she flies to Taiwan.
But the U.S. House speaker would be entering one of the world’s hottest spots, where a mishap, misstep or misunderstanding could endanger her safety.
So the Pentagon is developing plans for any contingency.

Pelosi has been a staunch critic of China throughout her more than three decades in Congress.
She was also a strong supporter of 2019 pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong, making her a target of caustic criticism from Beijing.
Taiwan enjoys strong bipartisan support in Congress, and Pelosi said last week it was “important for us to show support for Taiwan.”
Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen has defied Beijing’s threats and her administration has favored,
Core democratic values and liberal policies close to Pelosi’s heart, including same-sex marriage and a strong social security net.

China claims Taiwan as its own territory to be annexed by force if necessary and its military build-up in recent years has largely been oriented toward such a mission.
Beijing objects to all official contact between Taipei and Washington, and routinely threatens retaliation.
China launched military exercises and fired missiles into waters near Taiwan in response to a 1995 visit to the US by Taiwan’s then-President Lee Teng-hui, but it’s military capabilities have advanced massively since then.
While experts say it’s unlikely China would use force to prevent Pelosi’s US government plane from landing in Taipei, its response remains unpredictable.
Threatening military drills and incursions by ships and planes are considered potential scenarios that would set the entire region on edge.

President Joe Biden’s administration is keen to keep America’s crucial but often turbulent and highly complex relationship with China on an even keel.
Pelosi had planned to visit in April but postponed after getting Covid-19.
She has declined to discuss reported plans to travel to Taiwan in coming weeks.
That could coincide with China’s celebrations of the August 1 anniversary of the founding of the People’s Liberation Army, and possibly overlap with a planned phone call between Biden and President Xi Jinping.
A more robust Chinese response could also be driven by Xi’s desire to bolster his nationalist credentials ahead of a party congress later this year at which he is expected to seek a third five-year term in office.
Xi’s expansion of his powers into every sphere and his hardline zero-Covid response to the domestic epidemic has sowed,
A degree of resentment and appealing to raw patriotism, particularly over Taiwan, might help him fend off criticism.

Tsai has been welcoming of all foreign dignitaries, serving and retired, from the US, Europe and Asia,
Using such visits as a bulwark against China’s refusal to deal with her government and relentless campaign of diplomatic isolation.
Still, her rhetoric on such occasions has generally been relatively low-key, reflecting her own calm demeanour and possibly a desire not to further antagonize China, which remains a crucial economic partner.
The capital Taipei staged a civil defence drill Monday and Tsai on Tuesday attended annual military exercises,
Although there was no direct connection with tensions over a possible Pelosi visit.
While the Taiwanese public strongly rejects China’s demands for unification, the ability of the island’s military to defend against the PLA without US help is highly questionable,
So shoring up the armed forces has been a hallmark of Tsai’s term in office.